GDPnow, Atlanta Fed

Atlanta Fed's GDPnow model sees Q1 GDP deeper in the red after ISM release
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model slid deeper into the red on Monday, estimating that Q1 GDP will sink 2.8% on a seasonally adjusted annual rate, from the 1.5% decline it estimated on Friday. The nowcast factored in Monday's release of the February ISM,
Atlanta Fed model forecasts nearly -3% GDP growth in first quarter of this year
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025.
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model sees U.S. economy shrinking 2.8% in the first quarter of 2025
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow on Monday estimated that the U.S. economy will shrink at a 2.8% annualized rate in the first quarter of 2025 -- just days after it indicated that gross domestic product was on pace to shrink by 1.
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking After Friday Data
The US economy is setting up to take a major step back in the first quarter after a pair of reports showed weaker consumer spending and a dramatic widening of the trade deficit at the start of the year,
Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow now predicts U.S. economy will contract nearly 3% in Q1
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now predicts the U.S. economy will contract 2.8% in the first quarter. This is almost double last week’s prediction of a 1.5% drop.
Atlanta Fed model forecasts GDP contraction in 2025 Q1
On February 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -1.5%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: https://t.co/NOSwMl7Jms. pic.twitter.com/HhndH6BirX
Atlanta Fed's forecast for Q1 economic growth just fell off a cliff
The latest reading from the Atlanta Fed's widely followed GDPNow indicator has just been published, and it appeared to confirm investors' fears that the [pace of U.S. economic growth might be slowing
The first quarter is on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says
The central bank's GDPNow tracker of incoming metrics is indicating that gross domestic product is on pace to shrink by 1.5%.
US economy on track for negative GDP in Trump’s first quarter back
The US economy is already slipping in 2025, and the numbers don’t look good for President Donald Trump, who took the Oval back on January 20. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, GDP is on track to contract by 1.
Closely watched Atlanta Fed GDP tracker sees U.S. economy contracting in first quarter
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model on Friday lowered its forecast for the U.S. economy to a contraction at a 1.5% annual rate. This would be the first quarterly contraction in the economy since the first quarter of 2022.
Atlanta Fed shock sounds 'Trumpcession' warning: McGeever
The euro strengthened and European stocks rose on Monday after European leaders agreed to draw up a Ukraine peace plan, while ...
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Estimate Falls Again
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s running forecast for first-quarter gross domestic product slid again on Monday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now calls for a first-quarter GDP decline of 2.8 ...
Why recession fears are overblown
Economic data suggests that the economy remains broadly strong. Do not fixate on trade deficit data as a metric for indications of a looming recession.
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Facing Dismal Economic Projections From Atlanta Fed, Commerce Secretary Proposes Major Change to GDP Reporting
The Atlanta branch of the Federal Reserve is now predicting that America’s GDP could decline by as much as 2.8 percent in the ...
Atlanta Fed shock sounds 'Trumpcession' warning
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model estimate for annualized growth in the current quarter was a stunning -2.8% on Monday, down from +2.3% last week. A month ago the model showed that growth in the ...
REITs Rally As Rates Tumble
The Atlanta Fed's updated growth forecast indicated a -1.5% contraction in first-quarter GDP. Learn more about the real ...
Investing Playbook: How to play a slowing economy
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model shows the economy contracting 1.5% in the first quarter, based on current ...