The 1 p.m. Friday, July 4, 2025, tropics advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Miami shows a tropical system with formation possible over the next 48 hours or within seven days at 70 percent.

There is a 70 percent chance of tropical formation within the next 2 days. While the storm moves away from Florida, a residual pull of moisture will still be present, igniting storms over parts of the state.