Recent surges in trade policy uncertainty highlight the fragility of global supply chains, prompting businesses to consider ...

Asymmetries play an important role in many macroeconomic models. We show that assumptions on household and firm expectations ...

Andrew Foerster, senior research advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy ...

Here’s a snapshot of a recent outreach visit in Alaska from Mary C. Daly, President and CEO at the Federal Reserve Bank of ...

President Daly joined Steven Davis, Thomas W. and Susan B. Ford Senior Fellow and Director of Research at the Hoover ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District edged down slightly during the July to mid-August reporting period. Employment levels were down slightly as employers laid off workers and did not fill ...

We document the extent to which workers in AI-exposed occupations can successfully retrain for AI-intensive work. We assemble a new workforce development dataset spanning over 1.6 million job training ...

In accordance with the provisions of Section 4 of the Federal Reserve Act and the announcement on July 16, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is conducting an election of Directors to ...

Timely analysis on the current economy, economic developments, and the outlook.

Academic research by SF Fed economists and affiliates intended for publication in scholarly journals.